Crude sinks lower on dollar effect, oversupply

Friday, Dec 18, 2015,10:20 IST By metrovaartha A A A

Singapore | Crude prices sank deeper in Asian trading Friday after the US oil benchmark closed at its lowest level since February 2009 on worsening oversupply concerns and a stronger dollar. At around 0220 GMT, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for January delivery was trading at USD 34.77 per barrel, 18 cents off its close of USD 34.95 in New York. European benchmark Brent crude for February was down nine cents to USD 36.97.

Oil is trading near levels last seen at the height of the last global financial crisis as producers including the OPEC group continue pumping despite depressed prices and anemic global demand. Adding to the commodity’s woes is the US Federal Reserve’s decision on Wednesday to raise benchmark interest rates for the first time in nine years, boosting the dollar and thus making crude more expensive for buyers with weaker currencies. WTI sinking further below USD 35 in the morning is likely the result of the strengthening dollar, Daniel Ang, investment analyst at Phillip Futures in Singapore, told AFP.

In addition to this, Brent’s January 2016 contract has expired, which is causing spread traders to close off their WTI January 2016 contract positions. Gene McGillian, broker and analyst at Tradition Energy, said oil prices will probably test the lows of 2008, which would bring WTI to the vicinity of USD 32 a barrel. Until we see signs that production is basically beginning to come down somewhere in the world… that the economic activity is going to pick up and boost fuel demand, the market is going to remain at these low levels and grind towards those areas we bottomed at during the Great Recession, McGillian said.

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